Analysis of Route Choice Between Toll Road and National Highway in Palembang - Prabumulih, South Sumatera

Iva Nazila, Edi Kadarsa, Melawaty Agustien

Abstract


The Palembang–Prabumulih Toll Road, as part of the Trans-Sumatra Toll Road network, was developed to improve travel efficiency and reduce traffic congestion on the national highway. However, its traffic volume remains below target, with 9,914 vehicles/day recorded on the Palembang–Indralaya section and 5,600 vehicles/day on the Indralaya–Prabumulih section, compared to 15,456 vehicles/day on the national route. This study analyzes the factors influencing route choice between the toll road and the national highway and formulates strategies to increase toll road utilization. The research employed the Stated Preference (SP) method and Binomial Logit Model. Survey results indicate that most respondents were aged 31–40 years (37%), male (78.5%), self-employed (40.5%), and earned Rp3,000,000–Rp4,000,000 per month. Based on five cost scenarios ranging from Rp67,500 to Rp126,000 and time savings of 15–75 minutes, 62–81% of respondents preferred the toll road at lower costs, while preference declined as costs increased. The average Value of Time (VoT) was Rp365 per minute, and the model produced χ²ₐ = 8.373 < χ²ₜ = 14.067, indicating a good fit with the observed data. The study concludes that travel cost is the dominant factor influencing route choice


Keywords


Binomial Logit, Stated Preference, Toll Road, PTV Visum

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DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.52155/ijpsat.v53.2.7539

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